Estimating the supply of oilseed acreage for sustainable aviation fuel production: taking account of farmers’ willingness to adopt

Abstract Background Continued progress towards reducing greenhouse gas emissions will require efforts across many industries. Though aviation is estimated to account for modest portions of global emissions, these shares may grow as the industry expands. The use biomass- and crop-based sustainable fuels can help reduce in industry. However, limited feedstock supplies are a barrier increased fuels. This study examines potential supply from oilseeds farmer willingness produce oilseed crops under contract fuel production with focus on canola similar feedstocks (e.g., rapeseed). Stated-choice survey data used examine crop features that drive acceptance six states located U.S. Great Plains Pacific Northwest then acreage curves using secondary data. Main findings number acres supplied varies considerably scenarios. Relatedly, exhibit high degrees price responsiveness. Of analyzed, acreages generally found be greatest Kansas North Dakota. Conclusions Results suggest absence favorable scenarios other prices need increase typical levels induce higher acres. presence insurance, shorter lengths provide cost sharing availability particular attributes shown diminish prices.